Tuesday, June 15, 2010

First Post Should Go To Second Pick...

In my professional opinion, I don't even think there is any question about who the number 1 pick should be in all drafts - Chris Johnson. This man had 65 more points than his "supposed" number 1 pick rival, Adrian Peterson last season. Let's add to that, it was his first season as the only rb on that team - so we can expect a repeat, and he's not as injury prone as Peterson. Plus, the Titan's entire offense revolves around Chris Johnson and defenses still can't stop him...the Vikings have an excellent qb/passing game and they don't necessarily need to rely on Peterson. Johnson's ceiling is still limitless, and he could break rushing records and fantasy records in the upcoming seasons. I dont think there is even a debate here for pick numero uno.

However......I think the second pick of the draft is by far the most intriguing. Not only is there a case for several options, but this pick will ultimately decide how the next couple picks play out, so I think it's rather important. Our options include: Adrian Peterson, MJD, and Ray Rice.....and if your feeling spry (not Kelly Spry) you could even reach for Frank Gore.

A. Peterson - For 2-3 years now, he's been in the top 3 rb's of the league both in reality and fantasy. I think he will go 2nd in almost every league (assuming Johnson goes 1), and deservedly so. He finished 2nd in fantasy points among rb's last year, and 3rd among rb's 2 years ago. Keep in mind, two years ago Deangelo Williams had a freak year, Michael Turner got a million carries, and Matt Forte surprised. Yet, none of these 3 had nearly as much production, and Peterson is always right there. He will be a top 3 rb barring injury, he will probably get more td's this year, and he is the safest number 2 pick.

MJD - Talk about a guy who never gets any love, and is almost always picked in the top-5 every season in recent memory. He plays for a shitty team, and he always gets the job done. He finished 9th in points 2 season ago among rb's, and 3rd last season. If your involved in a ppr-league, this guy is a no brainer number 2 pick most likely. He never puts up spectacular numbers, and his team usually is mediocre at best, but like Peterson he is reliable - and thats extremely important from your number 1 pick. His potentially awful team is discouraging, but he will get his 10 td's rushing, a couple recieving, and maybe some returning. The team relies heavily on him in both the rushing and passing attack, so this makes him capable of topping Peterson in overall fantasy production.

Ray Rice - It is only his third year in the league, but to be honest he is a beast and very reminiscent of MJD. I did predict last year he would end up with first round points/value, and I was right obviously. However, he actually exceeded my expectations and went on to put up the 4th most points among rb's. Here is the problem: he has to share carries with 2 (mostly mcgahee) other running backs. I really think that's his main issue, because I don't believe he'll have a sohpomore slump like Matt Forte, he's a much better all around rb. Even when Mcgahee would get a majority of the carries some games, Rice would still find ways to produce. The Ravens have to have seen how good he was, and give him more production this year, and I think he'll rack up a lot more yards...the td's may not come with it however. People may not realize just how good he was last season, so he could potentially fall behind guys like Gore, Turner, and Jackson. If that's the case, then he will be a steal. Look for more fantasy points from him, a top-5 value at the end of the year, and IF the Ravens decide not to split carries all season or they lose Mcgahee/Mclain as goal line backs to injury....Ray Rice will be the number 2 rb...possibly number 1.

- Fantasy Guru

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